RiskMonitor is a comprehensive service for country risk analysis and monitoring.

RiskMonitor is simply the best analytical tool for country risk measurement available on the market: the best because of its unmatched statistical performance for early warning signals, and the best because of TAC’s unique ability to combine highly sophisticated numerical approaches with a long-standing understanding of, and field experience in, developing countries.

Indeed, TAC has been a leader in the field of country risk analysis and early warning systems for emerging markets’ crises for the past 10 years. The service currently available, called RiskMonitor, is the result both of a long-time “field” expertise, and of the usage of quantitative tools for crisis signalling.

Defined as a complete service proposition for country risk analysis, RiskMonitor is based on the following characteristics:

• A highly sophisticated and powerful quantitative method and associated software, providing the most accurate advance signals on developing countries’ crises available on the market. The new version (RiskMonitor) provides clear-cut Crisis Signals with a probability of occurrence above 90%, as well as complete Country Economic Ratings for 59 developing countries.

• The Crisis Signals and the Country Economic Ratings are computed for three different time-horizons (less than one year, one to three years, and three to five years) and three different types of economic difficulties or shocks (Solvency / default, Exchange Rate Depreciation and Economic Activity Reversal).

• Despite the highly sophisticated quantitative tools used, the analysis relies on easy-to-understand macroeconomic and financial “Fundamental Balances”, depicted through a succession of easy-to-read charts, and avoiding most of the so-called “black box” phenomena usually associated with complex quantification exercises.

• The quantitative results are completed and refined through our long-term understanding and experience of country risk, accumulated over the past 25 years of constant monitoring and very regular “in-depth” research on key developing countries, associated with field missions in all the regions of the world and a dense network of local contacts within the economic and financial communities.

• A fully personalized service, including flexibility of delivery, open selection of countries, specific comments and analyses for each customers, and large customisation possibilities beyond the traditional products offered, notably for inputs that can be directly integrated into operational decision processes (e.g. fx hedging, cost of capital, insurance policies, etc.).